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【産経新聞】 中共漁船1200隻、東シナ海で反転「L字型」隊列 3月1~3日、米国排除へ準備行動か

3行In 3 Lines

Reports indicate that a massive fleet of 1,200 Chinese fishing boats formed an L-shaped formation and reversed course in the East China Sea between March 1st and 3rd.

This highly unusual maneuver is being widely interpreted as a "preparatory action" aimed at potentially excluding U.S. naval vessels from the area.

The news has triggered significant anxiety and alarm online, with comments such as "Is this it?" and "Is Japan safe?" frequently appearing.

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CCP Fishing Boats / Maritime Militia

The term "CCP fishing boats" refers not merely to vessels engaged in ordinary fishing activities, but often to fishing boats operating under the strong influence or direct instruction of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). When these fishing boats act with military or political objectives, their role as "maritime militia" is especially highlighted. The maritime militia is an irregular naval force operating under the command of China's People's Armed Police Force, performing a wide range of tasks while masquerading as ordinary fishing vessels. These tasks include reconnaissance, intelligence gathering, asserting territorial claims, harassing other nations' vessels, and even supporting military operations. For instance, in the disputed areas of the South China Sea, they engage in harassment of Filipino and Vietnamese fishing boats or transport supplies during artificial island construction, operating on the front lines of China's maritime expansion strategy. As 'white vessels' (naval warships are grey, coast guard vessels are white), they play a crucial role in China's 'gray zone tactics,' expanding de facto control while mitigating the risk of direct military conflict. The L-shaped formation of 1,200 vessels in the East China Sea, on such a scale, is an organized movement inconceivable for ordinary fishing activities, strongly suggesting clear intent from Chinese authorities. This vividly illustrates China's strategic characteristic of intimidation and creating faits accomplis without resorting to direct military force.

East China Sea

The East China Sea is a sea area bordered by Japan, China, Taiwan, and South Korea, possessing extremely high geographical, economic, and strategic importance. It is believed to hold abundant oil and natural gas resources beneath its seabed and is also known as one of the world's leading fishing grounds. However, various nations assert their Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) boundaries in this rich sea, and the territorial dispute over Japan's Senkaku Islands (Diaoyu Islands in China) remains one of the biggest concerns in Japan-China relations. China is attempting to virtually extend its unique maritime claim, the 'Nine-Dash Line,' not only to the South China Sea but also to the East China Sea. Actions such as unilaterally proceeding with gas field development near the median line asserted by Japan are notable for challenging the existing international legal order. The United States, by conducting 'freedom of navigation operations' in this region, aims to curb China's maritime expansion and advocates for maintaining a free and open Indo-Pacific. The recent large-scale activities of Chinese fishing boats strongly demonstrate China's claim to sovereignty in the East China Sea and its intention to alter the regional status quo to the international community. As one of the focal points of strategic competition between the U.S. and China, its developments hold extremely significant implications for international security.

L-shaped Formation

The formation of a specific 'L-shaped' array by as many as 1,200 vessels far exceeds the scope of mere fishing activities and signifies an extremely organized and military-oriented action. It is highly unusual for an ordinary fishing fleet to maintain such a strict formation. In military operations, warships form specific formations to enhance coordination and achieve particular objectives. For instance, an L-shaped formation can be an effective array for 'blockading' a specific sea area or 'obstructing' the approach of a particular target (e.g., U.S. naval vessels). By utilizing this formation, it is expected to physically block the target's path or exert psychological pressure with a large number of vessels to encourage their departure. Since this article points to the L-shaped formation as 'a preparatory action for U.S. exclusion,' it is highly probable that it was a drill or an actual operation intended to obstruct or intimidate U.S. naval vessels, assuming they would be conducting some activities in the East China Sea. While maintaining the guise of civilian fishing vessels, their actions are undeniably a typical example of a 'gray zone incident' with military intent, functioning as a strong message to the international community that China intends to establish dominance in this sea area.

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