【緊迫】ドナルド・トランプ「イランは一晩で壊滅する可能性…その夜は“明日の夜かもしれない”」ホルムズ海峡巡り“開放しなければ地獄を見る”と警告
Former President Trump has issued a chilling warning to Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz, stating it "could be annihilated overnight... perhaps tomorrow night."
He threatened "they will see hell" if Iran attempts to block the Strait, a critical lifeline for global oil supply.
The remarks have sparked widespread concern online, with users questioning if Trump will follow through and what it means for global stability.
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Donald Trump
The 45th President of the United States. His distinctive diplomatic style is characterized by "deal-making" and "peace through strength." From the start of his term, he maintained a tough stance on Iran, unilaterally withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) signed under the previous Obama administration in 2018. He reinstated and strengthened economic sanctions against Iran, launching a "maximum pressure" campaign. This dealt a significant blow to the Iranian economy, pushing the country toward resuming nuclear development and consequently becoming a major cause of increased tension in the Middle East. Trump is known for often using provocative language to appeal to his base, and expressions like "annihilated overnight" and "see hell" are an extension of his hardline diplomatic posture. As he seeks re-election, he is also seen as aiming to showcase his assertive diplomatic skills. His statements are not mere threats; in the past, he has followed through on actions such as missile strikes in Syria and the assassination of an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps commander, meaning the international community cannot ignore the weight of his words. The security of the Strait of Hormuz directly impacts global energy supply, making his remarks extremely significant, potentially affecting crude oil markets.
Strait of Hormuz
A strategically vital maritime passage connecting the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. At its narrowest point, it is only about 34 km wide, and this confined strait accounts for approximately 20-25% of the world's seaborne oil transport. Specifically, crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from major oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, and Qatar are transported worldwide through this strait. For Japan, a significant portion of its crude oil imports from the Middle East passes through this strait, making it a "lifeline for Japan's sea lanes." Iran has repeatedly hinted at the possibility of blockading the strait to exert pressure on the international community, citing its proximity to Iranian territorial waters and land. Particularly when cornered by economic sanctions, Iran may resort to actions that threaten the security of the strait as a trump card. In the past, standoffs with U.S. naval vessels and attacks/seizures of tankers have occurred, making the stability of the strait a constant international concern. If this strait were to be blockaded, the global energy market would fall into chaos, crude oil prices would skyrocket, and it could cause catastrophic effects on the global economy, thus making it one of the top security priorities for various countries.
Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA)
Formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. This was a multilateral agreement signed in 2015 between Iran and the P5+1 (the five permanent members of the UN Security Council: USA, UK, France, Russia, China, plus Germany) and the EU. The agreement stipulated that in exchange for Iran significantly limiting its uranium enrichment activities that could lead to nuclear weapons development, the international community would lift the economic sanctions imposed on Iran. Its objective was to restrict Iran's nuclear development to peaceful uses by accepting strict inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). However, in May 2018, then-U.S. President Trump announced his withdrawal from the JCPOA, claiming Iran was acting contrary to the spirit of the agreement (e.g., ballistic missile development). Subsequently, the U.S. reinstated and strengthened economic sanctions against Iran, pursuing a "maximum pressure" policy. In response, Iran, arguing that the U.S. had withdrawn from the agreement, gradually ceased implementing its obligations, such as uranium enrichment limits, and resumed its nuclear development. This sharply escalated tensions in the Middle East, once again making the possibility of Iran developing nuclear weapons a serious international concern. Trump's recent statements are also set against the backdrop of this deepening conflict following the JCPOA withdrawal.