【悲報】サウジアラビア「トランプさん、戦争続けようよ！イランを潰せる二度とない機会だよ！」
A shocking report reveals Saudi Arabia urged former President Trump to maintain a hardline stance against Iran, advocating for military pressure to "crush Iran" as a "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity."
This controversial statement could destabilize the Middle East, sparking international concern about escalating tensions.
Online, fears of "another war" and astonishment at the "extreme complexity of the Middle East situation" are widely expressed.
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Saudi-Iran Proxy War (Middle East Sectarian Conflict)
Saudi Arabia (leader of Sunni Islam) and Iran (leader of Shia Islam) have been locked in a fierce, long-standing rivalry for regional hegemony in the Middle East. This conflict transcends mere national interests, rooted deeply in the sectarian divide between Sunni and Shia Islam. While avoiding direct military confrontation, both nations have engaged in indirect armed clashes by supporting various armed and political factions in conflicts like the Yemeni Civil War, Syrian Civil War, Iraq, and Lebanon – a phenomenon known as "proxy warfare." For instance, in Yemen, Saudi Arabia supports government forces while Iran backs the Houthi movement, leading to a severe humanitarian crisis. Saudi Arabia's reported statement reflects a strong desire to definitively end this prolonged rivalry, or a deep apprehension about Iran's expanding regional influence. It views Iran's nuclear development and missile technology advancements as direct threats to its own security and seeks to leverage cooperation with the U.S. to alter this situation. This dynamic of sectarian conflict and proxy warfare is a fundamental source of instability in the Middle East, and the recent statement has the potential to further complicate regional affairs.
U.S. Middle East Policy Under the Trump Administration
Donald Trump's foreign policy was characterized by an "America First" approach, prioritizing national interests over traditional alliances. Regarding Iran, he adopted an extremely hardline stance, unilaterally withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) in 2018, which was signed under the Obama administration. He then significantly ramped up economic sanctions against Iran, launching a "maximum pressure" campaign. In response, Iran resumed uranium enrichment, escalating regional tensions. Towards Saudi Arabia, Trump fostered good relations, making it his first overseas visit destination in 2017 shortly after taking office. Military cooperation and large-scale arms sales also occurred, with Saudi Arabia welcoming the Trump administration's tough stance on Iran. Furthermore, the Trump administration brokered the "Abraham Accords," normalizing relations between Israel and Arab nations (e.g., UAE, Bahrain), attempting to form an anti-Iran bloc. Saudi Arabia's appeal to Trump, now a presidential candidate again, to "crush Iran" stems from its expectation that he would pursue similar policies upon re-election, given his past hardline approach towards Iran and Saudi-friendly policies. This potential shift in U.S. policy is undoubtedly a key backdrop to the current statement.
Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) and Middle East Nuclear Proliferation Risk
The Iran Nuclear Deal (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, JCPOA) was signed in 2015 between Iran and the P5+1 (five permanent members of the UN Security Council + Germany) with the aim of lifting economic sanctions in exchange for limiting Iran's nuclear development. This agreement was expected to significantly restrict Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons and reduce nuclear proliferation risks in the Middle East. However, the situation dramatically changed in 2018 when the Trump administration unilaterally withdrew from the deal and reimposed sanctions on Iran. In response, Iran progressively resumed activities exceeding the uranium enrichment limits set by the nuclear deal. International bodies now report that Iran possesses a considerable amount of highly enriched uranium that could be diverted for nuclear weapons production, making its nuclear development a major international concern. Saudi Arabia views Iran's nuclear development as a direct threat to its own security and has even implied it would consider nuclear armament if Iran acquired nuclear weapons. Saudi Arabia's statement about "crushing Iran" is rooted in this serious concern about Iran's nuclear program and a strong intention to eliminate Iran's nuclear capabilities, even through military pressure, given the current state of the de-facto defunct nuclear deal. This is an extremely critical issue for regional security and the non-proliferation regime, and future developments are closely watched.